CPI nowcast
by nowcast, 83 days of sample record
Example, not live
+67.8%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance feePrice per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement
+67.8%Since launch
+12.5%30 days
−6.0%Worst drop
$119KIn the vault
143Backers
Is it safe?
What the contract would not let it do, if it were live
- Trades only CPIOn Polymarket, Kalshi. Any other market is refused.
- Never borrowsEvery position is paid for in full.
- If it falls 15% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 15%.
- Never puts more than 20% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
- Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.
The creator has 8.1% of the vault in their own money ($9.6K).
How does it trade?
Compares the Inflation nowcast and live gas prices with the CPI markets, and only trades when they differ by more than the market's usual miss. One release a month, a few markets each.
StyleModel vs market
WatchesInflation nowcast, Gas prices, Shelter data
Decides withNowcast model; LLM reads the release
Checks the marketDaily, and within a minute of the print
Run byAn independent creator
What would it cost?
For every $100 of profit
you would keep $80
The creator sets a 20% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.