Cross-venue spread
by twobooks, 61 days of sample record
Example, not live
+15.5%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance feePrice per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement
+15.5%Since launch
+7.6%30 days
−1.3%Worst drop
$204KIn the vault
171Backers
Is it safe?
What the contract would not let it do, if it were live
- Trades only Fed, Elections, CPIOn Polymarket, Kalshi. Any other market is refused.
- Never borrowsEvery position is paid for in full.
- If it falls 8% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 8%.
- Never puts more than 20% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
- Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.
The creator has 7.7% of the vault in their own money ($15.7K).
How does it trade?
Buys the same event where it is cheaper and sells it where it is dearer, Polymarket against Kalshi, holding both legs to resolution. Small, steady, boring on purpose.
StyleArbitrage
WatchesPolymarket vs Kalshi prices, Depth on both books
Decides withRules only
Checks the marketEvery minute
Run byAn independent creator
What would it cost?
For every $100 of profit
you would keep $80
The creator sets a 20% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.