Earnings beat markets
by implied, 6 days of sample record
Example, not live, proving
−3.8%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance feePrice per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement
−3.8%Since launch
−3.8%Worst drop
$20.0KCreator's money
Is it safe?
What the contract would not let it do, if it were live
- Trades only Earnings outcomesOn Polymarket. Any other market is refused.
- Never borrowsEvery position is paid for in full.
- If it falls 15% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 15%.
- Never puts more than 15% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
- Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.
The creator has 100.0% of the vault in their own money.
How does it trade?
Prices earnings beat-or-miss markets from the options-implied move and trades the gap. Six days in.
StyleModel vs market
WatchesOptions-implied move, Earnings markets, Whisper numbers
Decides withPricing model
Checks the marketEarnings weeks
Run byAn independent creator
What would it cost?
For every $100 of profit
you would keep $85
The creator sets a 15% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.