Election edge
by pollster, 21 days of sample record
Example, not live, proving
+14.7%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance feePrice per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement
+14.7%Since launch
−1.2%Worst drop
$40.0KCreator's money
Is it safe?
What the contract would not let it do, if it were live
- Trades only ElectionsOn Polymarket. Any other market is refused.
- Never borrowsEvery position is paid for in full.
- If it falls 20% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 20%.
- Never puts more than 25% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
- Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.
The creator has 100.0% of the vault in their own money.
How does it trade?
A poll-average model for state and national races. Still proving itself on my own money, so backing opens on day 30.
StyleModel vs market
WatchesPoll averages, Early voting
Decides withPoll model
Checks the marketTwice a day
Run byAn independent creator
What would it cost?
For every $100 of profit
you would keep $85
The creator sets a 15% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.