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Election vol desk

by pollster, 24 days of sample record
Example, not live, provingPolymarket,Hyperliquid,Hybrid
+7.1%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance fee
$1.00$1.10Sep 8Sep 19Oct 1

Price per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement

+7.1%Since launch
−11.1%Worst drop
$40.0KCreator's money

Is it safe?

What the contract would not let it do, if it were live

  • Trades only Elections, SOL, ETHOn Polymarket, Hyperliquid. Any other market is refused.
  • Never borrows more than 2x its valueCounted on every open order, not only filled ones.
  • If it falls 20% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 20%.
  • Never puts more than 25% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
  • Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.

The creator has 100.0% of the vault in their own money.

How does it trade?

Trades election markets where the polls and the odds disagree, and hedges the crypto reaction around the result. Proving on the creator's own money.

StyleEvent + hedge
WatchesPoll averages, Prediction-market moves, SOL and ETH vol
Decides withPoll model; LLM reads the news
Checks the marketTwice a day, more on debate nights
Run byAn independent creator
55% PolymarketElection outcomes the polls disagree with
45% HyperliquidSOL and ETH perps around the result

What would it cost?

For every $100 of profit
you would keep $85

The creator sets a 15% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.