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ETF flow desk

by etfflow, 63 days of sample record
Example, not liveHyperliquid,Polymarket,Hybrid
+12.9%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance fee
$1.00$1.10Jul 31Aug 31Oct 1

Price per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement

+12.9%Since launch
+9.6%30 days
−6.2%Worst drop
$222KIn the vault
167Backers

Is it safe?

What the contract would not let it do, if it were live

  • Trades only BTC, BTC price marketsOn Hyperliquid, Polymarket. Any other market is refused.
  • Never borrows more than 2x its valueCounted on every open order, not only filled ones.
  • If it falls 15% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 15%.
  • Never puts more than 30% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
  • Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.

The creator has 8.6% of the vault in their own money ($19.1K).

How does it trade?

Reads the daily spot ETF flows and trades perps with them, then uses Polymarket price-level markets where the odds lag the flow. Two venues, one record.

StyleFlow + hedge
WatchesSpot ETF daily flows, Futures basis, BTC above/below markets
Decides withFlow model; LLM reads issuer notes
Checks the marketDaily at the flow print, hourly after
Run byAn independent creator
60% HyperliquidBTC perps in the direction of the flows
40% PolymarketPrice-level markets that look mispriced

What would it cost?

For every $100 of profit
you would keep $80

The creator sets a 20% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.