Fed decision desk

by dotplot, 64 days of sample record

Example, not livePolymarket,Prediction markets

+3.3%

since launch, after trading costs, before the performance fee

Price per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement

+3.3%Since launch

+0.2%30 days

−4.4%Worst drop

$52.6KIn the vault

66Backers

Is it safe?

What the contract would not let it do, if it were live

Trades only Fed, CPIOn Polymarket. Any other market is refused.
Never borrowsEvery position is paid for in full.
If it falls 20% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 20%.
Never puts more than 30% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.

The creator has 14.2% of the vault in their own money ($7.5K).

Prices Fed and inflation markets from futures and the dot plot, and buys outcomes that look off by more than 4 cents.

StyleModel vs market

WatchesFed funds futures, Dot plot, CPI

Decides withPricing model; LLM reads Fed speeches

Checks the marketHourly

Run byAn independent creator

For every $100 of profit
you would keep $85

The creator sets a 15% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.