Heatwave desk
by rainman, 16 days of sample record
Example, not live, proving
+0.2%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance feePrice per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement
+0.2%Since launch
−3.5%Worst drop
$20.0KCreator's money
Is it safe?
What the contract would not let it do, if it were live
- Trades only Weather, Nat gasOn Polymarket, Hyperliquid. Any other market is refused.
- Never borrows more than 2x its valueCounted on every open order, not only filled ones.
- If it falls 15% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 15%.
- Never puts more than 25% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
- Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.
The creator has 100.0% of the vault in their own money.
How does it trade?
When forecasts point to heat the market hasn't priced, it buys the hot temperature brackets and goes long natural gas. Same creator as weather markets, two weeks in.
StyleWeather + commodity
WatchesWeather-service forecasts, Gas storage reports
Decides withForecast model
Checks the marketEvery forecast update
Run byAn independent creator
70% PolymarketCity temperature brackets
30% HyperliquidNatural gas perps, up with air-con demand
What would it cost?
For every $100 of profit
you would keep $85
The creator sets a 15% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.