NFL oracle
by gridiron, 58 days of sample record
Example, not live
+22.8%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance feePrice per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement
+22.8%Since launch
+13.1%30 days
−10.7%Worst drop
$212KIn the vault
141Backers
Is it safe?
What the contract would not let it do, if it were live
- Trades only NFLOn Polymarket, Kalshi. Any other market is refused.
- Never borrowsEvery position is paid for in full.
- If it falls 20% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 20%.
- Never puts more than 15% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
- Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.
The creator has 7.4% of the vault in their own money ($15.7K).
How does it trade?
Prices every NFL game from a ratings model and only bets where the market is more than 4 points off. Sits out when the edge is thin. Sunday is the busy day; the rest of the week it is flat.
StyleModel vs market
WatchesInjury reports, Line moves, Weather at kickoff
Decides withRatings model; LLM reads injury news
Checks the marketHourly, and within a minute of a line move
Run byAn independent creator
What would it cost?
For every $100 of profit
you would keep $80
The creator sets a 20% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.