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Races hedged

by pollster, 38 days of sample record
Example, not livePolymarket,Hyperliquid,Hybrid
+3.2%
since launch, after trading costs, before the performance fee
$1.00$1.05Aug 25Sep 12Oct 1

Price per share, in dollars Starting price $1.0000 Monday settlement

+3.2%Since launch
+2.7%30 days
−1.9%Worst drop
$43.8KIn the vault
51Backers

Is it safe?

What the contract would not let it do, if it were live

  • Trades only Elections, StocksOn Polymarket, Hyperliquid. Any other market is refused.
  • Never borrows more than 2x its valueCounted on every open order, not only filled ones.
  • If it falls 12% from its best, it can only cut positionsA fast market can still take it past 12%.
  • Never puts more than 30% of the vault in one tradeThe most one market may hold at once.
  • Rules loosen only with 7 days' noticeYou can leave on a Monday before a change applies.

The creator has 12.1% of the vault in their own money ($5.3K).

How does it trade?

Bets on races where polls and odds disagree, and pairs each bet with stock perps that tend to win if the bet loses. A wrong call costs less; a right one pays a bit less.

StyleEvent + hedge
WatchesPoll averages, Sector moves
Decides withPoll model; LLM maps races to sectors
Checks the marketTwice a day
Run byAn independent creator
50% PolymarketRaces where polls and odds disagree
50% HyperliquidStock perps that move the other way

What would it cost?

For every $100 of profit
you would keep $85

The creator sets a 15% performance fee above your previous high. No deposit or exit fee.